Down the Stretch with Mike Mills

Another solid card at Canterbury Park this weekend.  On Sunday, we start the day with six quarter horse races including the QH Derby, the Northlands Futurity and Minnesota Stallion Breeders stakes. But let’s get to Saturday first!  Last weekend, we watched Alex Canchari pick up his 500 win.  This weekend, we wait for Orlando Mojica to get his 2,000 win.  He is only three away as of today.

Happy to have Mike Mills back providing analysis for One Lucky Mudder.  Give him a follow @M_Mills21.

Race 1:  Two-year old Quarter Horse will go 300 yards in the Saturday opener at Canterbury Park.  Top QH jockey Nik Goodwin draws the outside gate in both races but I’m heading to the middle with the 5 horse Ada Lida with leading trainer Jason Olmstead and the red-hot rider Brayan Velazquez. The pedigree on the 3 shows speed, La Mos Pyc and Nik Goodwin can stay clear on the 9 with Promise Me Bob.

Race 2: $15,000 Optional Claiming race for Race 2 and I’m sticking with the Olmstead/Velazquez on the 4 Ms Dynasty.  Three starts this year and twice in the winner’s circle.  Nik Goodwin gets the outside post in this one too on the very impressive Lota James.  This horse also has two winners in three starts.  Big Bad Ivory has a career of hitting the board.  Six career starts and three times in the money.  The distance should fit perfect with the pedigree.

Race 3:  Coastal Breeze was in a tight spot when going long off the layoff, cuts back today and should plenty fit coming from just off the pace, Minnesota bred Chris Mars takes a drop in class and faces open company for the first time at Canterbury, he looks to be the quickest of the bunch and if he gets away from them early he will tough to catch late. Kill Shot runs second of the layoff and from this outside post should sit a great trip behind the speed, top connections always seem to fire.

Race 4: Ms. Bubbette never seemed comfortable in her last when chasing a wire to wire winner, Mojica takes the call today and with some different tactics she should be right there all the way around.  Classy Teacher didn’t much running last time out but she has run some nice turf races in the past, sharp turf connections will have her save all the ground and make one run, Kenna Mae is perfect over the turf facing Minnesota breds, she tries open company and with her natural speed she will take them as far as she can. Speed threat.

Race 5: Da Kleinen Shatzi faced winners for the first time last out and ran a respectable third, inside post will force Butler to get her in the race early today but that style suits her well and the slight cutback will work in her favor, Adorkable hasn’t faced this kind of company before, last year she was knocking at the door in the allowance ranks, a couple dull efforts to start the year and the logical drop is taken but at 1 for 23 is the drop coming to late? Renamed beaten chalk last out at the level gets a great attack post today, just like our top selection she should be involved from the start and should appreciate the cut back.

Race 6: Many runners return from the June 18 race in which Bourbonnais won clear, Solamente was trapped down on the rain and never got to do much running until it was too late, with a better trip today he can make amends for that effort, Streaking Schiller tried turf for the first time last out, he was near a pace that collapsed after he made a brief bid towards the lead, if Keith can get him to relax early he should have more punch in the stretch, Moecaro ran into that collapsing pace on June 18 and got in some trouble in the stretch, with a clean trip he should be making noise late.

Race 7: Daddy Devine has been facing tougher and not showing much, todays drop could wake him up and with a pace pressing style he should have every chance to make his presence felt in the lane, Startingold should appreciate the extra distance today, late running sprinters aren’t always the best at a route distance but he is proven at the distance with three wins, Deja I’Etoile runs third off the layoff after getting bumped at the break and losing all chance last out, another with a pace pressing style that will help in a field without much speed signed on.

Race 8: G Road returns the turf where he broke his maiden last summer, he hasn’t shown much of last but the slight drop in class should help with the turf wake up call, Leavinglosangeles is the speed of the speed, he has very consistent speed figures and made a good account of himself in his only other try on the lawn, Qahr is one that doesn’t win very often but he does show up with some nice efforts including a third place finish over slightly tougher last time out, could be the bomb in the exotics.

Race 9: Toskiko takes a class drop into the claiming ranks after facing the ultra tough Honey Sax Appeal last out, she has a nice stalking style and check out that workout on July 3rd! Hide the Hooch cuts back to a distance she has had success at in the past, turf to dirt is always a good angle with lightly raced horses, nice to see Paul Nolan back in Shakopee, Wicked Attitude is a speedy filly that also comes out of the ‘Honey race, she got shut off last time out and never recovered, could take them a long way with a better outside trip.

 

 

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