Down the Stretch with Mike Mills

We are happy to have Mike Mills contributing to the One Lucky Mudder webpage!  Mike will be providing picks and analysis every Saturday on One Lucky Mudder.  Canterbury Park will be our regular Saturday feature track.

Mike is from Savage, Minnesota and was introduced to racing at a young age by his grandfather who owned and trained standard bred horses.  Mike started playing the races before he was a teenager and has been an avid player ever since. He has won multiple handicapping tournaments and last spring won a seat through Canterbury Park to the Horse Player World Series in Las Vegas.

Please give him a follow on Twitter @M_Mills21.

Today’s picks and analysis!  Good luck!

Race 1:  Wallykazam is a first time starter for Ed Ross Hardy and jockey Nik Goodwin is having a great start with his quarter horse mounts.  Wallykazam ships up from Remington Park where he’s put in some good works.  Jess a Chance and One Rare Ivory are the only two in the field with racing experience.  Jess a Chance broke poorly his first time out.  If that can be corrected, he’ll be closing.

Race 2:  The second quarter horse race of the day at 350 yards.  The outside runner Fast Copy Kat has the outside post which should suit him well, and gets the help of Nik Goodwin.  His last race at Remington at 110 was not enough.  Fast Copy Kat needs a little more distance to get into stride. Next to him will be Bella Nona who finished third at this distance in the last race.  Should do well in this field.  Shezawinesnob in the Number 2 post should do well in this spot with a good break.  Has been running at further distances.

Race 3: Harnersbach makes his second start of the year after a respectable third in seasonal debut he should be ready to fire his best today. Sword of David didn’t do much running in his Canterbury debut but with top connections and a couple of nice races down at Oaklawn this winter we should expect a much better effort here.  Vestibule ships in from Tampa for the Padilla barn and with the tough rail draw Butler will be forced to put him in the race early, but that’s not always a bad thing on the main track.

Race 4: Greedy American goes out for the Sharp barn after tiring in his last at a longer distance todays route distance should be more to his liking with sharp efforts at the Fairgrounds this winter. Dorn ran well here last summer on the lawn and if the race is washed off the turf we know he can handle the main track, dual surface threat. Water Issues ran some very competitive turf numbers last spring at Santa Anita but has fallen off form as of late, looking for a wake-up call

Race 5: Aces over Kings has run well since being acquired by the Berndt barn, his last race may have just been too far for him, returns to a sprint today and should get a nice outside stalking trip. Supreme Stature is second off the layoff and ran an even fourth here opening weekend, should be more fit this afternoon and we are still expecting the Brinson barn to heat up. Mr. Megatron should be rolling late after being on a speed favoring track last out we hope todays track plays better to his style.

Race 6: With all of the speed sign on here we will take a shot with Fiona Cat, she comes in off an off an 8 month layoff but if she is ready to fire the race will set up perfect for her. Scent of Gold will be a part of that quick pace but seems to have a bit of tactical ability to go along with her speed, top connections should have her ready to go in her local debut. Prospector d’oro tries turf and two turns for the first time, both are significant hurdles to overcome, know her early not sure about late.

Race 7: Dakotaroan was on a dead rail in his career debut and ran an even third, with second time out improvement expected he should be right in the mix. Pitch Perfection ran second in his career debut at Tampa in a maiden claimer, he joins his MN bred friends in this spot and will be the one to catch and beat when they turn for home, tough. Poverty Flats showed improvement at the end of last season with the addition of blinkers and entices top jock Canchari, sizzling work 5/30 adds to intrigue.

Race 8:  This could be today’s best betting race with many ways to go, we land on Vanderboom Ridge. He ran like a horse who needed his last after the 8 month layoff, made a bid at the leaders and tired late, Bravo barn shows 26% win rate second off the long layoff and he should be right the when the hit the wire. Vino Limbo Tango seemed to have run off a bit last time out but if Canchari can get him to relax on the front end he should be a tough customer to pass in the lane. In a wide open race we take a flyer on Affirmed Cure for third, he ran some very competitive numbers on the Canterbury turf last summer and could be the bomb for the exotics.

Race 9: Pensador should take a lot of money once again, she was beaten at the odds on favorite in her seasonal debut after racing wide, we can give her a pass for that as it was her first race in 8 months. King George is another who was on that dead rail opening weekend, speed of the speed in a wide open race. Darkhorse Ty comes out of the same race as King George but his style is to sit and pounce, with all that speed lined up to his inside Goodwin should get a nice trip and be rolling late.

Race 10: The last of the day takes us around 2 turns, Duty Proper is 2 for 4 over the main track here at Canterbury, his tactical style should suit him very well in this spot and we know Tampa shippers love it here in Shakopee. Denali Success ships in for Diodoro after spending the winter at Oaklawn, this will be his first run over the local track but with a nice work on 5/22 we think he might like it here. Unstoppable Colby is 5 for 7 in the money here at Canterbury and runs third off the layoff after shipping up from Arizona, the Arizona shippers have not done well at the meet so we can’t trust he will fire his best but he is a must include.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s