Down the Stretch with Mike Mills

We are happy to have Mike Mills contributing to the One Lucky Mudder webpage!  Mike will be providing picks and analysis every Saturday on One Lucky Mudder.  Canterbury Park will be our regular Saturday feature track.

Mike is from Savage, Minnesota and was introduced to racing at a young age by his grandfather who owned and trained standard bred horses.  Mike started playing the races before he was a teenager and has been an avid player ever since. He has won multiple handicapping tournaments and last spring won a seat through Canterbury Park to the Horse Player World Series in Las Vegas.

Please give him a follow on Twitter @M_Mills21.

Today’s picks and analysis!  Good luck!

Race 1:  Quarter horses take to the track first.  Hals Flying Eagle has a bumpy trip last out.  With a clean front near the outside post, he should be rolling late.  Giant James is trained by Ed Ross Hardy who brings in good quarter horses every year.  Nik Goodwin up.  Catch This Train is bred by Freighttrain B out of Pyc Paint Your Wagon with new jockey Scottie Bethke in the irons.  This will be Scott’s debut as a jockey at Canterbury. His Dad is thoroughbred trainer Troy Bethke.

Race 2: Red N Black and Attack ships in from So. Cal and Diodoro takes over the training, in a race void of much early pace he should get a nice stalking trip and a repeat of his Feb 27th performance will make him tough. Kipper Key was popular at the claim box this winter at Oaklawn and faced much tougher starter allowance foes in his last, Brinson barn due to heat up, should be rolling late. De Facto may get the lead and the cut back from recent route races and that scenario is always dangerous, know him early.

Race 3: Sassy Moe showed last summer he likes the main track here at Canterbury, without a win he did hit the board in all three local races, overmatched this winter at Oaklawn he finds a much more comfortable spot here.  Speaking of liking the main track National has won 8 of 12 local tries, he carries a three race winning streak into this race and will take some real beating today. Politicallycorrect has earned nearly 600k and is the clear class of the race but having run here opening weekend, the 6 day turnaround is cause for pause, tread lightly here.

Race 4: G Road has been off since getting crushed by restricted claimers last September, but he owns a win on this turf course and seems to enjoy the lawn better than the main. Longshot. Sassy Prance is 6 for 7 in the money on the Canterbury turf course but at 1 for 18 lifetime we can’t trust him on the win end. Manlee Spirit owns a 1 for 53 record so we can’t back him on the win either but he tends to jump up with good performances at huge prices every once in a while and with a 47 and 4 work a few days ago, we know he’s feeling good.

Race 5: Justeveryday has been facing slightly tougher down in Florida and should get a good trip outside the other speed. Top jockey trainer combo seals the deal. No Rain has great speed but doesn’t stick around late, however, the way the main track played here opening weekend he should be able to take his speed farther than normal. Dixie Lover was facing much tougher at Oaklawn over the winter and with his tactical speed and top jock Canchari aboard should have every chance to run them down in the lane.

Race 6: Keep Me Posted has been going strong all winter in Arizona, no wins in 2016 but has been running races that put him right in the mix with this field, two fine local works add to the intrigue.  Alvear has been very inconsistent over the past couple of season but with rain in the forecast he would greatly benefit if this race was moved to the main track having put up a huge wet track number on the main track here. The veteran grey gelding Vibrato Jazz has been an ultra consistent performer over his career and is a recent claim for Diodoro. The one to beat.

Race 7: Winningcherokee takes a class drop for the Brinson barn and with a 2 for 4 record over the Canterbury main track he should be in prime position to make it 3 for 5 today. Sonicvelocity ships in from Arizona for his local main track debut and the 47 and 2 work May 22nd signals he’s ready to fire. Raton Pass is a horse for the course, after a tough winter in Florida he should appreciate the change in venue. Jockey Martin was aboard for last year’s 11-length romp.

Race 8: Today’s finale is a turf route with many chances, She Spends My Lute owns a fine career record and seems to have found a new home on the grass, local turf debut today but with expert connections at the helm make her the one to beat. Octavia Hill is the speed of speed and that can be a big advantage on this turf course, first time on the turf is the question mark. Racinrosemary also tries turf for the first time today but she is taking a big class drop for this and connections are hoping that wakes this filly up.

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